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I need to keep reminding myself that one day Taleb may finally say something that is less than 100% awesome. Just as the turkey gratefully gobbles the farmer's grain, blissfully unaware that with each passing day Christmas gets a little closer, so I devour Taleb's books (and am entertained by his YouTube highlights). If Taleb ever does say something dumb, that I think, will be a bona fide black swan.
it was predictable via US foreign and fiscal policy that a counter attack would eventually take place. Which gives some credibility that it was a terrorist's attack. Upon closer examination however the physical evidence leans away from that theory and lends itself to supporting the notion that the event was staged in order to bolster public support for an invasion of Iraq. Iraq as we all know sits in the middle of the world's oil patch. There's motive, means, and opportunity.
Nassim Taleb is right, in government because in government it doesn't matter if you are right being 1 against 99.
But in nature it's good because if a group of 1000 people didn't try to make spares and another group of 1000 people did try but one succeeded to make a spare he could teach the rest to make Spears so they could go killing and enslaving the men of the other group and raping their women.
@86Xforce I agree.It's taught like religious doctrine.When you discuss it with
anyone all you get is anger,which to me indicates 'belief' that has been
incorporated into the mind, BUT, lacks truth.The anger comes from the
physical consequences of removing a delusion that's necessary for a
mental paradigm to operate.Alexander Lowen believes that depression
is a consequence of unconscious removal of a delusion from
Evolution replaces religion & has same function for most people.
@echinoidea Evolution does indeed benefit from randomness in the sense that it is randomness at molecular level that creates diversity in DNA and so forth. I like the way he abstained from mentioning that he has made a lot of money betting on negative black swans though lol
@maxmax655 Black swans are foreseeable to an extent, but the point is that they are not foreseeable with inductive and statistical methods, thus making it impossible to use statistical models to map them in the future.
We unfortunately as a society (western civilization) haven't learned anything from this global shock and consequent crisis. Powerful people form WS, City and their respective regulatory agencies, bought politicians still do not have any incentive to change anything. So, business as usual will continue, accumulating additional risks in the global system burdened with over-debtness until next (even bigger) global shock or a cascade of locally/regionally devastating shocks. It's sad but true.
Erectile Dysfunction, or ED, is a condition of a male’s penis that prevents it from getting an erection from sexual intercourse. However, many male patients get this condition from many pre existing health problems. The National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine, or the NCCAM, released that ED affects nearly 30 million males in the United States alone. In most patients, certain drugs can single handedly treat the condition. Below, is a list of different antibiotics used to treat ED and what side effects you may get, as well as what other treatments your doctor might prescribe you. Comprehensive List of Erectile Dysfunction Drugs Viagra, Cialis, Levitra